This is an introductory textbook on probability and induction written by one ofthe worlds foremost philosophers of science. The book has been designed tooffer m... » 

This is an introductory textbook on probability and induction written by one ofthe worlds foremost philosophers of science. The book has been designed tooffer maximal accessibility to the widest range of students not only thosemajoring in philosophy and assumes no formal training in elementary symboliclogic. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions ofinduction and probability and considers such topics as decision theoryBayesianism frequency ideas and the philosophical problem of induction. Thekey features of this book are a lively and vigorous prose style lucid andsystematic organization and presentation of ideas many practical applicationsa rich supply of exercises drawing on examples from such fields as psychologyecology economics bioethics engineering and political science numerousbrief historical accounts of how fundamental ideas of probability and inductiondeveloped and a full bibliography of further reading. «